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earnings-forecast

盈利预测与一致预期分析(自上而下/自下而上预测法/SUE/PEAD/分析师预期修正),捕捉业绩超预期交易机会。

58

Quality

67%

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SecuritybySnyk

Passed

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tessl review fix ./agent/src/skills/earnings-forecast/SKILL.md
SKILL.md
Quality
Evals
Security

Quality

Content

65%Weight 40%Scale 1-5

Reviews the quality of instructions and guidance provided to agents. Good implementation is clear, handles edge cases, and produces reliable results.

The content is dense, actionable, and well-structured with code, formulas, and an A-share calendar, but it lacks validation checkpoints in its batch portfolio workflow and keeps all detail inline with no progressive disclosure to reference files.

Suggestions

Add explicit validation checkpoints to the 4-step workflow (e.g., verify SUE std is computed from ≥8 quarters, confirm non-recurring items are excluded, sanity-check consensus coverage ≥3 analysts before signaling).

Split the five core concepts (Top-Down, Bottom-Up, SUE, PEAD, analyst-revision momentum) and the output template into reference files under references/ and keep SKILL.md as a concise overview that links to them one level deep.

Provide at least one end-to-end runnable example (data fetch → SUE calc → signal → backtest stats) instead of only illustrative snippets to push actionability to 5.

DimensionReasoningScore

Conciseness

The body is information-dense — formulas, thresholds, code, tables, and an A-share earnings calendar — with little padding; only minor sections (the 概述 restating the core logic, brief concept intros) could be trimmed, so it sits above the midpoint but short of fully lean.

4 / 5

Actionability

Concrete Python snippets (SUE, ERM, revenue decomposition), explicit thresholds (SUE>1.5, ERM>0.3), a portfolio config dict, and a fill-in output template give mostly executable guidance; gaps remain because the code is illustrative/formulaic rather than end-to-end runnable scripts with data fetching.

4 / 5

Workflow Clarity

The 盈利分析四步法 gives a clear 4-step sequence (构建预测→获取一致预期→计算偏差→信号生成), but portfolio construction involves batch operations (max_positions, rebalance) with no validation/verification checkpoints, so workflow clarity is capped at 3 per the rubric.

3 / 5

Progressive Disclosure

The single ~200-line file is well-organized with clear section headers, but no bundle/reference files exist and content that could be split (each of the 5 core concepts, the output template) is fully inlined, so it reads as detailed materials rather than an overview pointing to one-level-deep references.

3 / 5

Total

14

/

20

Passed

Description

70%Weight 40%Scale 1-5

Based on the skill's description, can an agent find and select it at the right time? Clear, specific descriptions lead to better discovery.

The description is specific, distinctive, and rich in natural domain keywords, but it omits an explicit 'Use when...' trigger clause, which caps completeness at 3. Adding a concrete usage-trigger sentence would lift the weakest dimension.

Suggestions

Append an explicit 'Use when...' clause, e.g. 'Use when analyzing A-share earnings surprises, building 业绩超预期 trading signals, or tracking 分析师预期修正.'

Add common trigger synonyms such as 财报、业绩预告、超预期 to broaden natural keyword coverage toward a 5.

Consider naming discrete actions (计算SUE、构建PEAD组合、跟踪预期修正) rather than only enumerating methods to push specificity to 5.

DimensionReasoningScore

Specificity

Lists several specific concrete methods — 「自上而下/自下而上预测法/SUE/PEAD/分析师预期修正」 — plus the concrete action 「捕捉业绩超预期交易机会」, giving comprehensive method coverage; not a 5 because it enumerates techniques rather than distinct discrete actions.

4 / 5

Completeness

Has a clear 'what' (forecast and consensus analysis to capture earnings surprises) but no 'Use when...' or equivalent explicit trigger guidance, so per the rubric completeness is capped at 3.

3 / 5

Trigger Term Quality

Natural domain keywords a Chinese-equity analyst would say — 「盈利预测」「一致预期」「业绩超预期」「分析师预期」 — are well covered; a few common variations like 「财报」「业绩预告」「超预期」 are absent, keeping it just below comprehensive.

4 / 5

Distinctiveness Conflict Risk

A clearly defined niche — A-share earnings-forecast and consensus-expectation trading — with distinctive triggers (SUE/PEAD/ERM) and minimal overlap risk with other skills.

5 / 5

Total

16

/

20

Passed

Validation

93%

Checks the skill against the spec for correct structure and formatting. All validation checks must pass before discovery and implementation can be scored.

Validation15 / 16 Passed

Validation for skill structure

CriteriaDescriptionResult

frontmatter_unknown_keys

Unknown frontmatter key(s) found; consider removing or moving to metadata

Warning

Total

15

/

16

Passed

Repository
HKUDS/Vibe-Trading
Reviewed

Table of Contents

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