Use when the user asks to "plan my launch tier", "how big should this launch be", or "build a launch risk register with kill criteria"; produces a tier decision (Tier 1 flagship all-channel / Tier 2 targeted / Tier 3 changelog-level), a launch-type declaration (new-product / feature / relaunch / partnership with co-marketing split), an effort calibration matrix (tier to channel intensity and asset scope), D0/W1/M1 KPI targets (labeled Estimated), a risk register (likelihood x blast-radius, owners, mitigations, kill criteria / rollback thresholds), and a T-8w to T+4w timeline skeleton. Not for picking the launch date or window — use launch-window-planner; not for creator-channel launch campaigns — use campaign-planner. 发布分级/发布类型/风险登记册/kill criteria