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ai-product-bets

Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve. Produces an AI Bet Memo (feature-by-feature verdicts, retest triggers, scaffolding ledger, moat and safety check) from a roadmap or idea list. Use for 'AI strategy', 'AI roadmap', 'what should we build with AI', 'will the next model make this obsolete', 'build vs wait for the model', 'will OpenAI/Anthropic build this', 'agent or chatbot', 'is this feature worth shipping'. Draws on 118 Lenny's Podcast guests incl. Nick Turley, Kevin Weil and Dianne Penn.

75

Quality

94%

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SecuritybySnyk

Passed

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SKILL.md
Quality
Evals
Security

Quality

Content

88%Weight 40%Scale 1-5

Reviews the quality of instructions and guidance provided to agents. Good implementation is clear, handles edge cases, and produces reliable results.

A strong, dense instruction skill: the diagnose-route-run-deliver workflow is unambiguous with explicit done criteria, and guidance is concrete throughout (thresholds, tables, a full memo template, a grading rubric). The main residual costs are token-level: the inline 'Receipts' quotes duplicate references/quotes.md, and attribution parentheticals throughout add bulk that could live in the reference files.

Suggestions

Replace the inline 'Receipts' section with a two-line pointer to references/quotes.md (keeping at most one signature quote) — this removes duplication that both costs tokens and blurs the SKILL.md/reference split.

Move the per-claim guest attributions in the 'Grade existing work' table and 'Red flags' into references/frameworks.md, keeping only the framework names in SKILL.md, to lift conciseness toward the level-5 anchor.

Consider moving the 'Where the experts disagree' camp details into the references (keeping the one-line resolution rules inline) so SKILL.md stays the routing layer.

DimensionReasoningScore

Conciseness

The body is dense with decision rules and numbers ('cap at 15', 'prototype for one week', '10-20%', '50-100 real tasks') and never explains concepts Claude already knows, so it is well above level 3. But it is not level 5: the 6-quote 'Receipts' section duplicates content already in references/quotes.md, and the per-claim name attributions ('(Droege, Inbal Shani)', '(Turley, Penn)') throughout the tables add tokens that could be trimmed to the reference files.

4 / 5

Actionability

Guidance is fully executable for an instruction skill: exactly four diagnostic questions with routing consequences, a situation-to-play routing table, numbered plays with concrete thresholds and owners, a copy-paste-ready deliverable markdown template, and a grading rubric with explicit 1/3/5 anchors. Nothing stays at the 'describes rather than instructs' level; per the scoring notes, absence of code is not penalized because the guidance is specific and actionable.

5 / 5

Workflow Clarity

The sequence is explicit (Step 1 Diagnose -> Step 2 Pick the play -> Step 3 Run it, with 'Play A — Bet triage (always run first)'), each play has numbered steps, and there are explicit validation/done checkpoints: 'Done when every feature has one verdict and one owner', ship criteria on the retest shelf, and the memo template acting as a completeness checklist. It sits above level 4 because checkpoints and completion criteria are explicit, not merely implied.

5 / 5

Progressive Disclosure

Structure is good: the operational core (diagnosis, routing, plays, deliverable) is inline while framework detail and quote verification are split into real, one-level-deep references, clearly signaled in 'Go deeper' with accurate descriptions ('references/frameworks.md — every framework in this skill, how to run it'). It falls short of level 5 because the 'Receipts' quotes are duplicated inline in the body and in references/quotes.md, i.e. some reference-appropriate content remains in SKILL.md.

4 / 5

Total

18

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20

Passed

Description

96%Weight 40%Scale 1-5

Based on the skill's description, can an agent find and select it at the right time? Clear, specific descriptions lead to better discovery.

An excellent description: it states concrete decision actions, names the deliverable and its components, and supplies a rich set of natural trigger phrases in third person without padding. The only minor weakness is that 'AI strategy'/'AI roadmap' are broad enough to contend with a general strategy skill.

DimensionReasoningScore

Specificity

Multiple concrete actions are stated: 'Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve' and 'Produces an AI Bet Memo (feature-by-feature verdicts, retest triggers, scaffolding ledger, moat and safety check) from a roadmap or idea list'. A named output artifact with its contents and the decision verbs give comprehensive, concrete coverage; the level-4 anchor ('minor gaps in coverage') does not apply since both the action set and the deliverable are fully specified.

5 / 5

Completeness

Both 'what' (build/delay/shelve/kill decisions plus a defined AI Bet Memo deliverable) and 'when' ('Use for ...' with eight concrete trigger phrases) are explicitly answered, matching the level-5 example structure. It is not level 4 because the 'when' clause is not merely present but lists specific trigger phrases rather than a generic condition.

5 / 5

Trigger Term Quality

The 'Use for' list covers natural phrasings with synonyms and variations users would actually say: 'AI strategy', 'AI roadmap', 'what should we build with AI', 'will the next model make this obsolete', 'build vs wait for the model', 'will OpenAI/Anthropic build this', 'agent or chatbot', 'is this feature worth shipping'. This matches the level-5 anchor (comprehensive natural terms including synonyms); nothing common is obviously missing.

5 / 5

Distinctiveness Conflict Risk

Mostly distinct: the model-improvement framing ('will the next model make this obsolete', 'build vs wait for the model', 'will OpenAI/Anthropic build this') is a clear niche unlikely to grab the wrong skill. However, the broad triggers 'AI strategy' and 'AI roadmap' overlap a general strategy/roadmapping skill (the body itself hands off to a separate 'strategy' skill), which is a minor overlap risk keeping it below the level-5 anchor's 'minimal conflict risk'.

4 / 5

Total

19

/

20

Passed

Validation

100%

Checks the skill against the spec for correct structure and formatting. All validation checks must pass before discovery and implementation can be scored.

Validation — 16 / 16 Passed

Validation for skill structure

No warnings or errors.

Repository

menkesu/awesome-pm-skills

Path

skills/ai-product-bets/SKILL.md

Reviewed

Table of Contents

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