This runs inside one turn — nothing waits on the user.

1. Ask: what would make this goal certain to fail? List the fewest actions that guarantee it — things being done or skipped today count double. Prefer the certain small saboteur over the dramatic unlikely one.
2. Negate each into one imperative line: a thing to do or a thing to stop.
3. Cut any line that is a risk to watch rather than an action to take — a risk list is the inversion failing, not the route arriving.

The negated list is the route. Hand it back as short bullets, one imperative per line, and stop there: nothing else rides along.

The goal hasn't been tried head-on yet → do the work. The failing is the execution, not the route → own it and fix it. A list of what could go wrong is what's wanted → give the list plainly; that list is itself the answer.