Decides what kind of failure a red CI test is before anyone starts fixing it. Extracts seven failure signals from the runner output, stack trace, run history, and environment metadata, then walks an ordered first-match-wins rule set to exactly one verdict: flaky-known, environment-drift, defect, timeout, flaky-pre-incident, or flake-of-unknown-cause. Emits the verdict together with the alternatives that were rejected and the specific condition each one failed, so the triage decision is auditable rather than asserted. Use when a test has just gone red and the next action depends on whether the cause is a product defect, a non-deterministic test, or drifted infrastructure.